Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier1 - 1Lorient
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 47.23% | 25.19% | 27.58% |
| Both teams to score 53.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% | 49.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% | 71.66% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% | 21.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.16% | 53.84% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% | 32.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.19% | 68.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 47.22%
Lorient 27.58%
Draw 25.19%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.58% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient
Montpellier HSC
90.0%Draw
5.0%Lorient
5.0%40
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Oct 29, 2016 7pm
Oct 28, 2015 8pm
Third Round
Lorient
3-2
Montpellier
