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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
4 - 0
SonderjyskE

Mortensen (35', 49'), Bech (45+5'), Emil Madsen (56')
Brandhof (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edvin Bjorklund (45+1'), Oggesen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Sonderjyske, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 3-2 Aarhus
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: SonderjyskE 1-1 Lyngby Boldklub
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Aarhus 2-1 Sonderjyske

Neither team can boast of a clean sheet from their opening two involvements, and we expect that to continue at the end of the 90 minutes on Friday. We are also backing Aarhus to narrowly edge out Sonderjyske in what should be an entertaining contest with loads of chances at both ends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest SonderjyskE win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawSonderjyskE
38.61%25.14% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 36.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)46.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)68.63% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.72% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)57.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
SonderjyskE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)25% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)59.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 38.61%
    SonderjyskE 36.25%
    Draw 25.13%
AarhusDrawSonderjyskE
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.25%

How you voted: Aarhus vs SonderjyskE

Aarhus
86.2%
Draw
10.3%
SonderjyskE
3.4%
29
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
Aarhus
1-1
SonderjyskE
Tingager (87')
Brandhof (45+2'), Munksgaard (69'), Anderson (90+5')
Tchamba (15')
Christiansen (2'), Soulas (63'), Dal Hende (90+4')
Apr 18, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
SonderjyskE
2-1
Aarhus
Gallegos (43'), Thomsen (90+5')
Albaek (58'), Jensen (67'), Berggreen (90+8')
Berggreen (90+8')
Tingager (45')
Mortensen (26'), Kahl (66'), Munksgaard (90+3'), Anderson (90+8')
Feb 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
SonderjyskE
2-3
Aarhus
Christiansen (2'), Gartenmann (14')
Kornvig (9'), Dal Hende (76'), Holm (78')
Mortensen (34', 90+3'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (59')
Lund (16')
Sep 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Aarhus
1-0
SonderjyskE

Dal Hende (9'), Reese (54'), Kristinsson (90+7')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aarhus
2-0
SonderjyskE
Mortensen (74' pen.), Olsen (80')

Gartenmann (47'), Vinderslev (47')
Gartenmann (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AarhusAarhus1576229151427
2Copenhagen1576227171027
3FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland158342722527
4SilkeborgSilkeborg156722821725
5RandersRanders156632718924
6Brondby156542820823
7Nordsjaelland156542826223
8Viborg FFViborg155552825320
9Aalborg BKAaB154471830-1216
10SonderjyskESonderjyskE153391735-1812
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub151771120-910
12Vejle1513111635-196


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