Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bayreuth had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bayreuth win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.