Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
14
We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 St Pauli
Though Leipzig have not been particularly prolific in front of goal, their defensive record is exceptional, and they could keep a clean sheet on Tuesday. Additionally, given the hosts' strong pedigree in the DFB-Pokal in recent seasons, it would be surprising if they were eliminated at such an early stage of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | St Pauli |
50.88% ( -0.01) | 22.92% ( 0) | 26.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
