MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:22:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Orban (47'), Geertruida (58'), Openda (79')
Adamu (38'), Openda (88'), Vermeeren (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doan (15')
Geertruida (46'), Lienhart (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Freiburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Freiburg

 Although Freiburg beat Augsburg last time out, their underlying creative numbers were not particularly strong, and they could struggle against Leipzig's formidable defence. However, given Leipzig's tiring match against Liverpool on Wednesday, it would not be surprising if Saturday's clash was a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
54.47% (0.527 0.53) 22.87% (-0.105 -0.11) 22.66% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (0.184 0.18)16.04% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (0.334 0.33)45.4% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-0.376 -0.38)33.32% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (-0.414 -0.41)69.93% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.47%
    Freiburg 22.66%
    Draw 22.86%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 6% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.66%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
71.6%
Draw
17.3%
Freiburg
11.1%
81
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Freiburg
1-4
RB Leipzig
Grifo (59')
Holer (64'), Sallai (90+2'), Sallai (90+2')
Haidara (2'), Openda (18', 44'), Sesko (54')
Schlager (64'), Raum (68'), Orban (73'), Henrichs (75'), Doan (79')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simons (6'), Openda (79' pen.), Baumgartner (80')
Haidara (62'), Openda (63')
Rohl (45+6')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
0-1
RB Leipzig
Kampl (73')
> Preview
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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