Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Freiburg
Although Freiburg beat Augsburg last time out, their underlying creative numbers were not particularly strong, and they could struggle against Leipzig's formidable defence. However, given Leipzig's tiring match against Liverpool on Wednesday, it would not be surprising if Saturday's clash was a close affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
54.47% ( 0.53) | 22.87% ( -0.11) | 22.66% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
