MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:00:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz
0 - 2
RB Leipzig


Nebel (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Simons (20'), Orban (37')
Haidara (53'), Vermeeren (60'), Elmas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's impressive defensive record, with five clean sheets in six matches, makes them strong favourites to continue their unbeaten run and extend their commendable Bundesliga streak to 18 games without a loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
35.79% (0.137 0.14) 24.22% (0.032 0.03) 39.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.147 -0.15)42.1% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-0.149 -0.15)64.5% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)21.17% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (-0.227 -0.23)54.03% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.79%
    RB Leipzig 39.98%
    Draw 24.22%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Mainz vs RB Leipzig

Mainz 05
19.7%
Draw
14.8%
RB Leipzig
65.6%
61
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Mainz
Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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