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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 18, 2024 at 12pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Nuremberg logo

Saarbrucken
1 - 1
Nuremberg

Brunker (80')
Ziehl (60'), Rabihic (117')
FT
(aet)
Sevcik (12')
Flick (58'), Pick (79'), Villadsen (117')
Nuremberg win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Saarbrucken and Nuremberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saarbrucken

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Saarbrucken 3-0 Swift Hesperange
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nuremberg

All competitions
Last Game: Nuremberg 3-1 Schalke
Saturday, August 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Saarbrucken win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%).

Result
SaarbruckenDrawNuremberg
38.05% (0.13200000000001 0.13) 23.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.38% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 63.16% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (0.085999999999999 0.09)38.68% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01% (0.092000000000006 0.09)60.99% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.09899999999999 0.1)20.6% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.159 0.16)53.15% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)52.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 38.05%
    Nuremberg 38.38%
    Draw 23.56%
SaarbruckenDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.38%

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