MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 09:09:04| >> :600:1068429:1068429:
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Bayern logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Bayern

Sontheimer (45+1'), Gaus (90+6')
Zeitz (10'), Sontheimer (72'), Gaus (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Saarbrucken 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's extensive list of unavailable players could ensure that Saarbrucken avoid the indignity of being thrashed inside their own stadium, but the visitors should still have far too much quality for their third division opponents to be able to handle. Tuchel will likely build around a strong defensive base of Matthijs de Ligt and Kim Min-jae while rotating wherever else he feels that he is able to do so, with the likes of Tel and Choupo-Moting always keen to impress when they receive rare starting opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saarbrucken win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
10.84% (0.582 0.58) 15.45% (0.489 0.49) 73.71% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)31.57% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)53.07% (0.828 0.83)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.543 0.54)40.06% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.491 0.49)76.71% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (-0.363 -0.36)7.33% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (-0.971 -0.97)26.49% (0.978 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 10.84%
    Bayern Munich 73.71%
    Draw 15.45%
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.84%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.45%
0-2 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 5.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 73.71%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Bayern

Saarbrucken
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
84.2%
38
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


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