MX23RW : Friday, June 28 20:13:13| >> :600:2189427:2189427:
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Bayern logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Bayern

Sontheimer (45+1'), Gaus (90+6')
Zeitz (10'), Sontheimer (72'), Gaus (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Saarbrucken 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's extensive list of unavailable players could ensure that Saarbrucken avoid the indignity of being thrashed inside their own stadium, but the visitors should still have far too much quality for their third division opponents to be able to handle. Tuchel will likely build around a strong defensive base of Matthijs de Ligt and Kim Min-jae while rotating wherever else he feels that he is able to do so, with the likes of Tel and Choupo-Moting always keen to impress when they receive rare starting opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saarbrucken win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
10.84% (0.582 0.58) 15.45% (0.489 0.49) 73.71% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)31.57% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)53.07% (0.828 0.83)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.543 0.54)40.06% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.491 0.49)76.71% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (-0.363 -0.36)7.33% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (-0.971 -0.97)26.49% (0.978 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 10.84%
    Bayern Munich 73.71%
    Draw 15.45%
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.84%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.45%
0-2 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 5.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 73.71%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Bayern

Saarbrucken
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
84.2%
38
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
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Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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