Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
