Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
3 - 0
Greuther Furth

Braut Haaland (33' pen., 82'), Malen (89')
Hummels (15'), Bellingham (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bauer (32'), Willems (43'), Leitl (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Greuther Furth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Greuther Furth

Unfortunately for the visitors, it is difficult to see past a comprehensive home victory at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday. The gulf in class should be clear to see between the two sides, and although Greuther will battle hard to avoid a heavy defeat, Dortmund will be looking for a comfortable win to potentially cut the gap at the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 85.21%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Greuther Furth
85.21%	9.52%	5.26%

Both teams to score 53.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.56%

21.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.86%

40.14%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.56%

3.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.97%

15.03%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.06%

44.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.12%

80.88%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 85.21%

Greuther Furth 5.26%

Draw 9.52%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Greuther Furth
3-0 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.79% 4-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 6.66% 5-0 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 5.21% 5-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.16% 6-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.67% 6-1 @ 2.53% 5-2 @ 1.8% 7-0 @ 1.52% 7-1 @ 1.22% 6-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.23% Total : 85.21%	1-1 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 2.81% 0-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 1% Total : 9.52%	1-2 @ 1.67% 0-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.36% Total : 5.26%