Sandhausen will hope to see their opponents make as many selection changes as Alonso is likely to, as this will clearly improve their chances of producing a shock result against Leverkusen. However, the visitors have decent squad depth to call upon, with Schick possessing enough quality on his own to dispose of a third division team. Alonso's side are building momentum and we expect them to make it 13 wins from 14 games in all competitions for the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
SV Sandhausen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
20.06% ( -0.21)	21.89% ( -0.01)	58.05% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 55.42% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15% (

-0.26)

42.85% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75% (

-0.26)

65.25% (

0.26)

SV Sandhausen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

-0.36)

35.19% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

-0.38)

71.94% (

0.38)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0.02)

14.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.53% (

-0.04)

42.47% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

SV Sandhausen 20.06%

Bayer Leverkusen 58.05%

Draw 21.89%

SV Sandhausen	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.06%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.05%