Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
FC Koln

Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baumgart (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Molde 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln

Despite having had significantly less rest time than Koln due to their European involvements on Thursday evening, we expect Leverkusen to head into the upcoming international break at the top of the table by recording a comfortable win on Sunday. Koln's dreadful form so far this season has been slightly surprising given that they have been a solid outfit since Baumgart's appointment over two years ago, but they appear set for a difficult campaign this time around, which is in stark contrast to their high-flying opponents under Alonso. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.76%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
57.76% ( -0.69)	20.89% ( 0.3)	21.35% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 61.08% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.64% (

-0.94)

36.36% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.51% (

-1.04)

58.49% (

1.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.55% (

-0.49)

12.45% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.6% (

-1.03)

38.39% (

1.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.2)

30.23% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

-0.24)

66.4% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 57.76%

FC Koln 21.35%

Draw 20.89%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.15% Total : 57.76%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 21.35%