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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg

Wirtz (36'), Hofmann (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gulde (70')
Kubler (14'), Streich (90+3'), Holer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg

 Both teams could be a little tired after their exertions in the Europa League on Thursday, but we can envisage Leverkusen's greater squad depth - and fewer amount of injuries - helping them towards a fifth successive victory in the Bundesliga and ending another matchday at the top of the table in the process. Freiburg have not looked quite as strong as in recent seasons, and while they should still have more than enough quality to secure another top half finish, competing for the top six once again may prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
63.72% (0.16 0.16) 19.75% (0.174 0.17) 16.53% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-1.394 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (-1.466 -1.47)38.8% (1.465 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (-1.562 -1.56)61.12% (1.562 1.56)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (-0.389 -0.39)11.56% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.5% (-0.845 -0.84)36.5% (0.846 0.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-1.294 -1.29)36.66% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.325 -1.33)73.45% (1.325 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.72%
    Freiburg 16.53%
    Draw 19.75%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.374 0.37)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.484 0.48)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.1% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 63.72%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.175 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.75%
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.53%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
92.5%
Draw
3.0%
Freiburg
4.5%
67
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Azmoun (67')
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May 14, 2022 2.30pm
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B. Leverkusen
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> Preview
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
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> Preview
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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