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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leverkusen logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Wolfsburg's form has been inconsistent so far this season, but they have performed much better on home soil, suggesting that they can give Leverkusen a run for their money on Saturday. However, Alonso's side look to be a cut above their forthcoming opponents, and we can envisage them winning a sixth straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.46% (1.509 1.51) 25.03% (0.289 0.29) 41.52% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (-0.831 -0.83)46.29% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (-0.79 -0.79)68.58% (0.785 0.78)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.532 0.53)26.6% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.701 0.7)61.82% (-0.704 -0.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-1.197 -1.2)22.24% (1.192 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-1.83 -1.83)55.68% (1.825 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.46%
    Bayer Leverkusen 41.52%
    Draw 25.02%
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.385 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.52%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Wolfsburg
12.7%
Draw
14.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Wolfsburg

Alario (90+2')
Baku (35')
Lacroix (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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