MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 13:47:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leverkusen logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Wolfsburg's form has been inconsistent so far this season, but they have performed much better on home soil, suggesting that they can give Leverkusen a run for their money on Saturday. However, Alonso's side look to be a cut above their forthcoming opponents, and we can envisage them winning a sixth straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.46% (1.509 1.51) 25.03% (0.289 0.29) 41.52% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (-0.831 -0.83)46.29% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (-0.79 -0.79)68.58% (0.785 0.78)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.532 0.53)26.6% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.701 0.7)61.82% (-0.704 -0.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-1.197 -1.2)22.24% (1.192 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-1.83 -1.83)55.68% (1.825 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.46%
    Bayer Leverkusen 41.52%
    Draw 25.02%
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.385 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.52%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Wolfsburg
12.7%
Draw
14.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Wolfsburg

Alario (90+2')
Baku (35')
Lacroix (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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