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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.46% ( 1.51) | 25.03% ( 0.29) | 41.52% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.71% ( -0.83) | 46.29% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.42% ( -0.79) | 68.58% ( 0.78) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( 0.53) | 26.6% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( 0.7) | 61.82% ( -0.7) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -1.2) | 22.24% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -1.83) | 55.68% ( 1.83) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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