Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30

Mar 13, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
0 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Hillen (16')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thy (13')
van den Belt (87'), Huiberts (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and PEC Zwolle.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions

Eerste Divisie

Last Game: Dordrecht 0-4 De Graafschap
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	PEC Zwolle
32.87% ( -0.2)	23.34% ( 0.06)	43.79% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 62.94% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.46% (

-0.35)

38.54% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.17% (

-0.37)

60.83% (

0.38)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.28)

23.24% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

-0.41)

57.15% (

0.41)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-0.08)

18% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

-0.14)

48.87% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 32.87%

PEC Zwolle 43.79%

Draw 23.33%

De Graafschap	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.87%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 43.79%