Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.