Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.