Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.