Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.