Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 0-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.