Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
30.76% ( -0.38)	22.65% ( 0.08)	46.59% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 64.46% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.89% (

-0.58)

36.11% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.78% (

-0.64)

58.22% (

0.64)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

-0.5)

23.29% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

-0.74)

57.23% (

0.75)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

-0.11)

15.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.73% (

-0.2)

45.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 30.76%

Roda JC 46.59%

Draw 22.65%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.59%