MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:38:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Willem II
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34
Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
4 - 1
Jong AZ

Svensson (24'), Nizet (35'), Hilterman (53'), de Leeuw (90+3')
Lachkar (31'), Svensson (44')
Lachkar (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stam (15')
Svensson (35')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 Willem II
Monday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-2 Emmen
Monday, April 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.12%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawJong AZ
72.12% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 15.97% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 11.91% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.43% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.97% (0.246 0.25)31.03% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.57% (0.291 0.29)52.42% (-0.289 -0.29)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.48% (0.066000000000003 0.07)7.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.01% (0.163 0.16)26.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.198 0.2)37.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33% (0.193 0.19)74.66% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 72.12%
    Jong AZ 11.91%
    Draw 15.97%
Willem IIDrawJong AZ
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.75% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 72.12%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.97%
1-2 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 11.91%

How you voted: Willem II vs Jong AZ

Willem II
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Jong AZ
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong AZ
0-2
Willem II

Kwakman (88')
Svensson (5'), Bosch (67')
St Jago (86')
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
Jong AZ
2-2
Willem II
Van Aken (55'), Addai (90+1')
Kabangu (7'), Hornkamp (20' pen.)
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
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