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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda

Jong AZ
4 - 0
NAC Breda

Barasi (18'), Allouch (51'), Griffith (60'), Meerdink (87')
Stam (36'), Goes (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van der Sande (52'), Herrmann (63'), Velanas (78')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Jong AZ
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 VVV-Venlo
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawNAC Breda
46.07% (0.146 0.15) 22.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 63.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.13% (-0.162 -0.16)36.87% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.95% (-0.175 -0.18)59.05% (0.176 0.18)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)16.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.15% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)23.46% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.252 -0.25)57.48% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 46.07%
    NAC Breda 31.09%
    Draw 22.84%
Jong AZDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.09%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
NAC Breda
1-0
Jong AZ
Bakker (24')
Azzagari (42'), Bakker (46')

Taabouni (27'), Duin (81')
Mar 8, 2021 8pm
Jong AZ
2-3
NAC Breda
Aboukhlal (50', 52')
De Rooij (20'), Immers (30'), Maria (71')
Rutten (26')
Aug 29, 2020 8pm
NAC Breda
6-1
Jong AZ
Dogan (14'), El Allouchi (24'), Stokkers (30'), Riera (56'), Bohui (81'), Venema (90+2')
Oosting (90')
Dirks (18'), Goudmijn (62')
Jan 17, 2020 7pm
NAC Breda
3-1
Jong AZ
Verschueren (57', 66'), Dogan (72')
Ilic (22'), Paul van Hecke (35'), Schouten (61'), Boussaid (73')
Church (86')
Goudmijn (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam20124444251940
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior20116339201939
3Dordrecht2010643729836
4Den BoschDen Bosch2096534221233
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap209564132932
6Cambuur2010282819932
7EmmenEmmen209563224832
8ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag208753325831
9Helmond SportHelmond209472930-131
10Roda JC198652524130
11TelstarTelstar206863129226
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven207582833-526
13MVV MaastrichtMVV205873032-223
14Jong AZJong AZ2064103338-522
15TOP OssOss205781633-1722
16Jong PSVJong PSV2063113339-621
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2044121836-1816
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2027111939-2013
20Vitesse204792845-17-8


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