EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Oakwell
Barnsley1 - 0Nott'm Forest
The Match
Match Report
Only goal enough for Tykes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 44.74% | 25.27% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 54.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
