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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
41.24% | 25.85% | 32.92% |
Both teams to score 54.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% | 50.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% | 72% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% | 24.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% | 58.27% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% | 28.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% | 64.59% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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