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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Oxford United

Cambridge
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodrigues (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Oxford United

With Cambridge losing 10 players, there has been significant turnover within the squad, so it could take a few weeks for Bonner's side to gel. Oxford look good enough, on paper, to put up a promotion challenge this season, so we think they will start off strongly here with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
35.12% (-2.249 -2.25) 27.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.46% (2.232 2.23)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)56.09% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (-0.061 -0.06)77.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-1.421 -1.42)30.34% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (-1.727 -1.73)66.53% (1.729 1.73)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (1.332 1.33)28.91% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (1.623 1.62)64.78% (-1.62 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 35.12%
    Oxford United 37.45%
    Draw 27.42%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.295 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.5 0.5)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.301 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.45%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
Oxford United
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
1-1
Oxford Utd
Ironside (78' pen.)
O'Neil (31')
Seddon (42')
Williams (30'), Seddon (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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