League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Oxford United
With Cambridge losing 10 players, there has been significant turnover within the squad, so it could take a few weeks for Bonner's side to gel.
Oxford look good enough, on paper, to put up a promotion challenge this season, so we think they will start off strongly here with a victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.46% . A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.76%) . The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood .
Result Cambridge United Draw Oxford United 35.12% ( -2.25) 27.42% ( 0.02) 37.46% ( 2.23)
Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.06)
43.91% ( -0.08) 56.09% ( 0.08)
22.84% ( -0.06) 77.16% ( 0.06)
69.66% ( -1.42) 30.34% ( 1.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.47% ( -1.73) 66.53% ( 1.73)
71.09% ( 1.33) 28.91% ( -1.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.22% ( 1.62) 64.78% ( -1.62)
Cambridge United 35.12%
Oxford United 37.45%
Draw 27.42%
Cambridge United Draw Oxford United 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.12% 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.45%
How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd
Cambridge United
Draw
Oxford United
12
rhs 2.0
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