League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodrigues (12')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Oxford United

With Cambridge losing 10 players, there has been significant turnover within the squad, so it could take a few weeks for Bonner's side to gel. Oxford look good enough, on paper, to put up a promotion challenge this season, so we think they will start off strongly here with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Oxford United
35.12% ( -2.25)	27.42% ( 0.02)	37.46% ( 2.23)

Both teams to score 49.52% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.91% (

-0.08)

56.09% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

-0.06)

77.16% (

0.06)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-1.42)

30.34% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

-1.73)

66.53% (

1.73)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

1.33)

28.91% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

1.62)

64.78% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 35.12%

Oxford United 37.45%

Draw 27.42%

Cambridge United	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.12%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.45%