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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Morecambe

Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe

Walsh (17'), House (67')
Oakley-Boothe (83'), Robson (86'), Sorensen (90+2'), Hopper (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weir (81')
Weir (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe have been performing well on the road as of late, but they are heading to face a team who are undefeated at home, creating a tough test. Lincoln City are a strong side, and their attacking qualities will likely prove to be too much for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
53.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 21.74% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)54.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)75.8% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.52% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)53.02% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 53.04%
    Morecambe 21.74%
    Draw 25.2%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.04%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Morecambe

Lincoln City
Draw
Morecambe
Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
15.6%
Morecambe
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Lincoln
3-1
Morecambe
Anderson (7'), Akinde (33' pen.), Shackell (37')
O'Connor (55')
Ellison (80')
Conlan (61'), Lavelle (87')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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