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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Morecambe

Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe

Walsh (17'), House (67')
Oakley-Boothe (83'), Robson (86'), Sorensen (90+2'), Hopper (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weir (81')
Weir (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe have been performing well on the road as of late, but they are heading to face a team who are undefeated at home, creating a tough test. Lincoln City are a strong side, and their attacking qualities will likely prove to be too much for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
53.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 21.74% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)54.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)75.8% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.52% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)53.02% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)40.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 53.04%
    Morecambe 21.74%
    Draw 25.2%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.04%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Morecambe

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
15.6%
Morecambe
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Lincoln
3-1
Morecambe
Anderson (7'), Akinde (33' pen.), Shackell (37')
O'Connor (55')
Ellison (80')
Conlan (61'), Lavelle (87')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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