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Cambridge United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Southampton logo

Cambridge
0 - 3
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (16', 55'), Ballard (88')
Romeu (69'), Lyanco (86'), Djenepo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cambridge United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Southampton

The Saints have not lost a second-round EFL Cup encounter away from home since 2005-06, when it was known as the Carling Cup, failing to concede on the road at this stage since 2013-14. Cambridge have not fared well at this point of the tournament for a long time, and that was primarily against second or third-tier sides, so we do not expect them to trouble a Southampton team who had 12 different players score in the Premier League last season, while another eight had at least one assist. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
24.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.96% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)45.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 24.34%
    Southampton 52.79%
    Draw 22.85%
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.79%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Southampton

Cambridge United
Draw
Southampton
Cambridge United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Southampton
71.4%
70
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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