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Cambridge United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Southampton logo

Cambridge
0 - 3
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (16', 55'), Ballard (88')
Romeu (69'), Lyanco (86'), Djenepo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cambridge United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Southampton

The Saints have not lost a second-round EFL Cup encounter away from home since 2005-06, when it was known as the Carling Cup, failing to concede on the road at this stage since 2013-14. Cambridge have not fared well at this point of the tournament for a long time, and that was primarily against second or third-tier sides, so we do not expect them to trouble a Southampton team who had 12 different players score in the Premier League last season, while another eight had at least one assist. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
24.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)64.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.96% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)45.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 24.34%
    Southampton 52.79%
    Draw 22.85%
Cambridge UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.79%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Southampton

Cambridge United
Draw
Southampton
Cambridge United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Southampton
71.4%
70
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
6Aston Villa3114984646051
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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