Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
