Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 9.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.