EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Valley
Charlton1 - 0MK Dons
We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 MK Dons
MK Dons just about have the better recent form in this fixture, having taken three wins to Charlton's two in their last six meetings. The game could easily go either way - especially with the wildcard of cup football - but we are backing the Dons to edge this one and condemn the home side to a third consecutive loss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 52.02% | 23.72% | 24.27% |
| Both teams to score 55.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
