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[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Charlton Athletic

MK Dons
2 - 1
Charlton

Parrott (18'), Eisa (64')
Lewington (82'), O'Hora (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stockley (15')
Inniss (26'), Morgan (75')

Preview: MK Dons vs. Charlton Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

MK Dons and Charlton Athletic meet at Stadium MK on Tuesday for the third game of the new League One season, with both teams looking to push on after less-than-ideal starts to their respective campaigns.

The sides find themselves in 15th and 18th in the table, having both drawn their opening game before suffering a one-goal defeat the following weekend.


Match preview

MK Dons' Dean Lewington pictured in January 2021© Reuters

MK Dons are still adjusting to life under a new manager - or, rather, head coach - after the sudden departure of Russell Martin to Championship side Swansea City.

Liam Manning was appointed as The Dons' first ever head coach on Friday - with the differences between the newly named role and the previous one of manager not yet totally clear - arriving after his first foray into management at Lommel SK in Belgium, which followed spells in youth roles for West Ham United and New York City.

Whatever his precise role, Manning was immediately put to work, with a challenging test in the form of a visit from Sunderland the very next day.

A spirited showing by the team was not rewarded as they went down 2-1 - goals from Ross Stewart and Elliot Embleton putting the Black Cats two up at half time, with Troy Parrott's first goal for the club proving to be simply a consolation.

Manning was content with the performance, though, saying that he saw plenty of positive signs on which to build. He will need to find a way to build fast if he is to ensure his side do not get left behind in the race for promotion, and the next challenge has come up very quickly with the game against Charlton just 72 hours later.

Nigel Adkins in charge of Hull; City on February 26, 2019© Reuters

For the fourth time in the last five years, Charlton are competing in the third tier of English football and, on the eve of the season, expectation had risen for a positive campaign.

Nigel Adkins - who replaced Lee Bowyer in March - took charge for the final 10 league games of last season, losing only once, with the Addicks narrowly missing out on a playoff spot by goal difference in seventh place.

The 56-year-old has been a popular appointment among the Charlton fanbase, but the first two games of this campaign have been underwhelming.

After a dull 0-0 draw with Sheffield Wednesday on the opening day, Adkins' side fell to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Oxford United on Saturday, with Conor Washington's penalty providing the first Charlton goal of the season but ultimately counting for very little.

MK Dons League One form:
  • D
  • L

MK Dons form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Charlton Athletic League One form:
  • D
  • L

Charlton Athletic form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Charlton Athletic's Jayden Stockley in action against Lincoln City pictured on May 4, 2021© Reuters

MK Dons have no significant injury worries, with a goalkeeping dilemma seemingly the biggest worry for Manning, after Andrew Fisher made his debut in the loss to Sunderland and showed enough promise to retain his place.

Former Chelsea man Josh McEachran also made a first appearance of the season, with a cameo from the bench, and may now receive a full 90 minutes as part of a 3-4-1-2 formation.

Charlton's new recruit Craig MacGillivray is set to continue in goal and will likely be protected by central defenders Ryan Inniss and Norwich City loanee Akin Famewo.

Left-back Ben Purrington is still recovering from a knock during pre-season and Jake Forster-Caskey remains a long-term absence as he recovers from a cruciate ligament injury in May, whilst the involvement of another new signing in Charlie Kirk is in the balance as the 23-year-old sadly deals with the death of his father.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Fisher; Jules, O'Hora, Darling; Watson, O'Riley, Twine, McEachran, Harvie; Eisa, Parrott

Charlton Athletic possible starting lineup:
MacGillivray; Matthews, Inniss, Famewo, Gunter; Clare, Dobson, Morgan; Jaiyesimi, Stockley, Washington


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both sides really need a win here and the pair have a varied record against each other, with two wins each and a draw in their previous five meetings. Adkins' extra experience should pay dividends, however, as Manning finds his feet in his new role.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs Charlton

MK Dons
12.8%
Draw
30.8%
Charlton Athletic
56.4%
39
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General view of MK Dons' Stadium MK from 2018
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