Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 5.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
