EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Wrexham
30.46% ( 0)	23.94%	45.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.55% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5%

42.49% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1% (

-0)

64.9% (

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

26.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14%

61.85%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

-0)

18.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7% (

-0)

50.3% (

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 30.46%

Wrexham 45.6%

Draw 23.94%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.46%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.6%