EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe0 - 3Wrexham
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Wrexham |
30.46% ( 0) | 23.94% | 45.6% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.55% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% | 42.49% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( -0) | 64.9% ( 0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( 0) | 26.62% |