Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
36.44% ( -0.82) | 26.09% ( 0.02) | 37.46% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( -0.07) | 50.57% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( -0.06) | 72.49% ( 0.06) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.5) | 26.86% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.66) | 62.17% ( 0.66) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( 0.42) | 26.28% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.56) | 61.4% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |