Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
