Sutton
2 - 1
Colchester

Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sutton United 3-1 Colchester United

The hosts are in far better form and have won all four of their matches in this competition so far. They may well prove that The Oysters were fortunate to have their recent match called off and we are backing a comfortable home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
42.2%	27.87%	29.93%

Both teams to score 46.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2%

58.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68%

79.32%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48%

27.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97%

63.03%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65%

35.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89%

72.1%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 42.2%

Colchester United 29.93%

Draw 27.87%

Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.93%