Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
