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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
34.17% | 29.43% | 36.4% |
Both teams to score 43.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.69% | 63.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.31% | 82.69% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.31% | 34.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.59% | 71.42% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% | 33.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% | 69.81% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.69% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |