League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
2 - 1
Exeter

Bugiel (8'), Milsom (89' pen.)
Barden (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dieng (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sutton United 3-1 Exeter City

With Exeter struggling for players, their preparation for Saturday's encounter could be hindered, and we think that Sutton will take advantage and collect another home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Exeter City
41.6%	27.83%	30.58%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.56%

58.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97%

79.04%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78%

63.23%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33%

34.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6%

71.4%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 41.59%

Exeter City 30.57%

Draw 27.82%

Sutton United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.57%