Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.
