Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Aalesund win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.