Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Start had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Start win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
