Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.