Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.