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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
57.85% | 20.03% | 22.12% |
Both teams to score 65.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.91% | 31.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.51% | 52.5% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% | 10.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.23% | 34.77% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% | 26.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 7% 1-0 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |