Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.