Utrecht

5 - 1

PEC Zwolle

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.