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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 5 | 13 | 15 |
2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
6 | Heerenveen | 5 | 5 | 9 |
7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
86.43% (![]() | 8.91% (![]() | 4.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.84% (![]() | 21.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.28% (![]() | 39.72% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.76% (![]() | 3.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.66% (![]() | 14.33% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.19% (![]() | 46.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.66% (![]() | 82.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
3-0 @ 10.19% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 4.51% Total : 86.42% | 1-1 @ 3.94% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 8.91% | 1-2 @ 1.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 4.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
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