MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:51:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
5 - 0
Heerenveen

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
Alvarez (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

van Beek (15'), Bochniewicz (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Rangers
Wednesday, September 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 4-0 Heerenveen

Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to see that changing here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a comfortable victory at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
86.43% (0.18900000000001 0.19) 8.91% (-0.085899999999999 -0.09) 4.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.84% (-0.113 -0.11)21.15% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.28% (-0.159 -0.16)39.72% (0.156 0.16)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.66% (0.021999999999991 0.02)14.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19% (-0.504 -0.5)46.8% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66% (-0.386 -0.39)82.33% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 86.42%
    Heerenveen 4.66%
    Draw 8.91%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
3-0 @ 10.19% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 8.74% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6% (0.071 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 86.42%
1-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 8.91%
1-2 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 4.66%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
85.3%
Draw
8.8%
Heerenveen
5.9%
34
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7pm
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Heerenveen
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (19'), Tadic (63' pen.), Neres (77')
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')
Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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