MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:51:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
5 - 0
Heerenveen

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
Alvarez (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

van Beek (15'), Bochniewicz (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Rangers
Wednesday, September 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 4-0 Heerenveen

Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to see that changing here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a comfortable victory at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
86.43% (0.18900000000001 0.19) 8.91% (-0.085899999999999 -0.09) 4.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.84% (-0.113 -0.11)21.15% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.28% (-0.159 -0.16)39.72% (0.156 0.16)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.66% (0.021999999999991 0.02)14.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19% (-0.504 -0.5)46.8% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66% (-0.386 -0.39)82.33% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 86.42%
    Heerenveen 4.66%
    Draw 8.91%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
3-0 @ 10.19% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 8.74% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6% (0.071 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 86.42%
1-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 8.91%
1-2 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 4.66%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
85.3%
Draw
8.8%
Heerenveen
5.9%
34
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7pm
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Heerenveen
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (19'), Tadic (63' pen.), Neres (77')
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')
Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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