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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Ouwejan (79' og.)
Haye (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-2 NEC

Almere City have been very poor this season and come into this match having only earned a single point in five home games this term, scoring just twice while conceding 15 goals over that period. While NEC have not been at their best either in this campaign, that solid victory against Heerenveen last week would have done their confidence a world of good, and we feel they will follow up on that result with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
14.17% (0.633 0.63) 17.69% (0.67 0.67) 68.14% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.15% (-1.822 -1.82)33.86% (1.825 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (-2.099 -2.1)55.7% (2.102 2.1)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-0.344 -0.34)36.52% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.348 -0.35)73.31% (0.351 0.35)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.92% (-0.755 -0.75)9.08% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.13% (-1.851 -1.85)30.87% (1.854 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 14.17%
    NEC 68.14%
    Draw 17.69%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 4.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 3.34% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.404 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.306 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.152 0.15)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.239 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.471 0.47)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 7.63% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.61% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.58% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-5 @ 2.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 68.14%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
14.6%
Draw
12.2%
NEC
73.2%
41
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Almere City
1-4
Nijmegen
Van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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