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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 4
Nijmegen

van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 NEC

There is little to play for heading into this weekend's contest, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless, with the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
30.09% (1.473 1.47) 24.36% (0.584 0.58) 45.55% (-2.051 -2.05)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-1.8 -1.8)44.58% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-1.764 -1.76)66.95% (1.769 1.77)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.097999999999999 0.1)27.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.122 0.12)63.53% (-0.117 -0.12)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-1.551 -1.55)19.71% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-2.589 -2.59)51.71% (2.594 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 30.09%
    NEC 45.55%
    Draw 24.36%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.417 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.55%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
25.5%
Draw
38.2%
NEC
36.4%
55
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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